Predicting the Global Landscape

The modern globalised world requires a deeper understanding of trade policy architecture and organizations, as services and policymakers face comprehending the WTO and free trade contracts at the bilateral and local level, and how they mesh; sell goods and services and how they fit with modern models of organization and trade such as international value chains and the broadening digital economy; and how countries approach crucial financial, social and ecological policies in relation to trade.

We provide both basic introductions of trade policy along with more specialised courses focusing on topics such as food and agriculture trade; non-tariff barriers; and digital and services trade.

GTR is devoted to bringing you the most current insights from the world of trade and trade finance. Our podcast platform presently includes 4 independent podcasts, ensuring there's something for everyone, no matter your area of interest.

A constructive course to sustainable trade reform Dan Esty, Mari Pangestu, Chantal Line Carpentier, Danny Quah, Elena Cima, Jose Manuel Salazar Xirinachs, Pamela Coke-Hamilton, Paul Polman, Rebecca Fatima Sta Maria, Shuang Liu, Nicole Itano, Rania Teguh, Jacob Taylor, Kershlin Krishna March 12, 2026

Economic Projections for International Trade

Organizations across markets are browsing the quickly evolving dynamics of worldwide trade. To remain competitive, magnate should reimagine how they handle supply chains, model market situations, and strategy labor force strategies. Download this guide to explore how business can enhance dexterity and durability in an unpredictable international environment by: Automating international trade procedures to assist decrease the expense and danger of non-compliance.

Planning for and performing labor force changes to rapidly scale up or down as needed.

GTO founder Anirudh Bhagchandka at "Information for Development: Role of G20 ahead of time the 2030 Agenda" hosted by MEA, UNCTAD, ORF, G20, T20

Organizations across industries are browsing the rapidly evolving dynamics of worldwide trade. To remain competitive, service leaders need to reimagine how they handle supply chains, model market situations, and strategy labor force methods. Download this guide to explore how business can boost agility and resilience in an unpredictable global environment by: Automating global trade processes to help minimize the expense and threat of non-compliance.

Preparation for and carrying out workforce modifications to rapidly scale up or down as needed.

How Global Shifts Influence Growth in 2026

2025 has been a huge year for worldwide trade, with the United States raising its import tariffs to their greatest level given that the 1930s (see Chart 1). While key indicators of United States trade policy unpredictability have actually alleviated from earlier peaks, services continue to navigate an extremely unpredictable international environment. Select image to increase the size of (opens in a new tab) ACCA's report, The outlook for global trade: perspectives from service leaderssurveyed accounting professionals and magnate on their current views on international trade.

28% expect their organisations to increase their amount of international trade 'significantly' in the next three to 5 years, and the exact same proportion expect it to 'increase somewhat', while 18% and 5%, respectively, anticipate it to decrease 'somewhat' and 'significantly'. C-suite executives were much more favorable (see Chart 2). Select image to enlarge (opens in a new tab) Provided the significant disturbances triggered by changes in United States trade policy, superpower rivalry and continuous disputes around the world, it was perhaps not surprising that 'geopolitical tensions', 'international or civil conflicts/wars' and 'protectionist policies in innovative economies' were viewed as the leading 3 risks or barriers for international trade over the coming years.

In first place, was 'utilize innovation (eg AI) to assist facilitate international trade' (see Chart 3). In second and third place were 'diversifying production, investment or area of suppliers' and 'get to new technologies'. Select image to expand (opens in a new tab) Significant changes in US trade policy could have extensive effect on future global trade patterns and flows.

Meanwhile, the study results do not refute concerns that a less open international trading system might rise expenses for families and firms. Around 35% of participants report that their organisation's expenses are likely to increase by more than 10% due to changes in international sell the coming years, while 46% anticipate them to increase by up to 10%.

Select image to expand (opens in a brand-new tab).

Essential Industry Metrics for Strategic Planning

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Discover the 10 essential takeaways, review a quick summary, discover interactive charts, and download the full report here.

Global trade is poised to strike an all-time high of nearly $33 trillion in 2024, up $1 trillion from the previous year., contributing $500 billion to the overall growth. Trade in items has grown at a slower 2% this year, remaining listed below its 2022 peak. Both sectors saw trade values rise in the third quarter, with momentum expected to bring into the year's final quarter.

Imports for this group grew 3% for the quarter, while exports increased 2%. recorded the greatest quarterly growth in goods exports (5%) and the greatest annual rise in services exports (13%). saw product imports rise 4% both quarterly and annually, with exports increasing 2% on the year and 1% in the quarter.

How Economic Forces Influence Trade in 2026

Imports fell 1% for the quarter, while increased by just 1%. Trade in between establishing nations, understood as South-South trade, dropped 1% for the quarter, reversing earlier patterns. However, developing nations' trade stayed positive on a yearly basis, growing by about 3%. saw items imports decrease 1% for the quarter and products exports fall 2%, while services imports dropped 1% for the quarter.

posted declines of 1% in goods imports and 3% in items exports for the quarter however saw services imports and exports both boost by 1%. On the year, products imports rose 4%, while exports grew 2%. trade stalled, with no development in imports and a mere 1% increase in exports for the quarter.

increased 13% for the quarter in line with the sector's strong 15% development for the year. published a robust 14% quarterly boost in trade in stark contrast to its 5% annual decline. saw a 3% drop in trade values in the third quarter due to slowing need, however the sector is still expected to post 4% growth for the year.

trade dropped 4% in the quarter, with no growth reported for the year. The 2025 trade outlook is clouded by possible US policy shifts, including wider tariffs that could interrupt worldwide value chains and effect essential trading partners. Even the simple risk of tariffs produces unpredictability, compromising trade, investment and economic development.

The United States dollar's unsure trajectory and US macroeconomic policy changes include to international trade concerns.

Standardizing Global Operating Systems

A casual reading of the news nowadays leaves the impression that the United States mostly imports produces and exports food and basic materials. Paradoxically, this leaves out the classification of worldwide commerce that looms big in U.S. income statistics and drives U.S. economic development: services. And this overlook is no small matter.

Some background. Solutions have long played 2nd fiddle to makes and farming in worldwide trade settlements. In part, that's since of the common but long-outdated concept that nearly all services are like hair stylists: living life as a blonde may be a lot more affordable in Beijing than Chicago, but there's no useful way to visit for a touch-up if you reside in Illinois.